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  • ๐Ÿ‘€ Another Firm Closing down, On watch for the Santa-rally, Sentiment is changing

๐Ÿ‘€ Another Firm Closing down, On watch for the Santa-rally, Sentiment is changing

Lets get ourselves prepared for the week ahead!

Hi guys, itโ€™s Kieran! Another week in the markets is upon us, so lets get ourselves prepared!

๐Ÿ“ข Prop Firm Industry News

Another one bites the dust. Smart Prop Trader is closing down. They have been around for a number of years, but firms who do not innovate have no chance of survival anymore, so this one is not a surprise. Hopefully everyone affected will get refunded ๐Ÿคž 

From Payout Junction, here are the firms who have paid out the most over the last 7 days ๐Ÿ†๏ธ 

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๐Ÿ•œ Economic calendar

Here are this weekโ€™s red folder news events. Lots of jobs numbers to look out for throughout the week, plus Fed Chair Powell is speaking on Wednesday. The Fed has an interest rate decision to make in a couple of weeks and this data will be pivotal, so stay on your toes.

๐Ÿ“ˆ The Macro View

On-watch for the Santa rally

As is customary each year, the S&P500 tends to rise unabated through the end of the year. End of year window-dressing coupled with low liquidity provides conditions for a slow grind higher.

Sentiment changing

The Bull/Bear index is showing an increase in bearish sentiment. Nothing extreme yet but the feeling around the equity market is less โ€œbuy at any priceโ€ than it did a couple of weeks ago.

Retail selling single name stocks

Retail seems to be the ones selling. Last week, Retail market participants sold $1.4bn of single stocks. These are record outflows, and a full reversal of the โ€œtrump tradeโ€.

Crypto mania

Largest 8-week inflow to crypto funds on record. The Flows are backing up the price increase. The question going forward will be, what happens to crypto prices when the inflows stop?... ๐Ÿค” 

US vs European Equities is getting ridiculous

Since 1950 the ratio of performance of US equites vs European equities had been mean revering, until it broke out and never looked back. The Long S&P500 + Short EUROSTOXX 50 trade has been profitable for 15 years now. Sometimes it really is that simple ๐Ÿ˜ 

OK guys thatโ€™s it for this week. Expect volatility, stay risk managed, and enjoy the ride. See ya next week!

Kieran

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