👀 Topstep vs Influencer Lawsuit Escalates - Subpoenas Sent

Lets get ourselves prepared for the week ahead!

Hi guys, it’s Kieran. Another week is upon us and the markets are open, so lets get into it.

📢 Prop Firm Industry News

Back in July it was revealed that Topstep is suing social media influencer Patrick Wieland for breaching a release agreement he signed after parting ways with the firm. They claim breaches of confidentiality, non-disparagement as well as deliberate defiance, and are seeking millions of dollars in damages. Last week, additional information came to light including a raft of subpoenas sent to various firms, platforms and another influencer (strangely).

Just to be clear, Topstep is not suing the subpoena recipients, they’re likely just being asked to produce information relevant to the case.

Patrick Wieland’s response:

Some background:

From Payout Junction, here are the firms who paid out the most over the last 7 days 🏆️.

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🕜 Red Folder News

Here are this week’s red folder news events. US Government shutdown continues, so lots of ‘tentative’ events on the calendar including non-Farm payrolls which would have been the biggest event of the week. We’ll still get some US data though with ADP Non-Farm jobs on Wednesday and ISM Manufacturing later today.

Time in CET

📈 The Macro View

Nasdaq closes up for the 7th straight month

Something it hasn’t done since 2017.

Mag 7 v the rest

This is of course a result of the massive overperformance of the Mag 7 stocks relative to the rest of the market.

Mag 7 stock prices vs earnings

A word of caution on buying Mag 7 stocks at these levels. Prices are massively overshooting earnings. Historically these sharp overshoots revert to mean at some point.

Market Sentiment

Even at these extended levels, participation in this rally is low, particularly from institutions. Overall market sentiment remains ‘fearful’, which is typically a good contrarian indictor to buy, however nothing works 100% of the time so keep an open mind.

OK guys that it from me, have a great week!

Kieran

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